Revenue growth projected at 7-9% in FY2027, though prolonged West Asia conflict may weigh on travel sentiment
Quarterly Update
27 Mar 2026
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Sustained
demand and pricing power to support revenue growth for premium hotel segment in
FY2027. The ongoing conflict in West Asia is expected to impact travellers from
and transiting through the region. However, the industry demand is largely
driven by domestic travellers and direct impact from reduced foreign tourist
arrivals (FTAs) is expected to be limited. Nevertheless, the situation remains
uncertain, and impact on business travel spend, liquified petroleum gas (LPG)
shortages and other inflationary factors remain monitorables.
ICRA
estimates room occupancy and average room rates (ARRs) of 72-74% and Rs.
8,200-8,500, respectively, in FY2026, against 70-72% and Rs. 8,000-8,200,
respectively, in FY2025. Post-holiday
season business travel, long weekends, and events including the India AI Impact
Summit 2026 and ICC Men’s T20 World Cup, supported demand in Q4 FY2026.
Geopolitical disruptions in early March 2026, leading to international flight
cancellations stranding tourists and travellers in India, resulted in extended
stays.
ICRA expects the
Indian hospitality industry’s revenues to grow by 7-9% YoY in FY2027 following
9-12% growth in FY2026,
supported by domestic leisure travel, demand from meetings, exhibitions,
conferences and events (MICE), weddings and business travel. ICRA anticipates
the pan-India premium hotel occupancy rate to hold at 72-74% in FY2027, largely
similar to that in FY2026, while ARRs for premium hotels are projected to rise
to Rs. 8,600-8,800 in FY2027 from Rs. 8,200-8,500 in FY2026.