Economic Outlook & Macro Trends

External debt to GDP at 5-year high 20.8% in FY2026; to rise further in FY2027, amid RBI’s measures to attract capital flows

Thematic Report 30 Jun 2026

India’s external debt rose by 3.6% or $26.3 billion on a year-on-year (YoY) basis to the second-highest level of $762.8 billion at end-March 2026 (20.8% of GDP), primarily led by expansion in short-term credit and commercial borrowings – which together constituted ~59% of the overall external debt. Additionally, the share of short-term debt by original and residual maturity in total external debt worsened in the year, to 19.6% and 42.9%, respectively, in FY2026 (vs. 18.3% and 41.2% in FY2025). However, with a sequential uptick of $4.9 billion in reserve assets, the coverage of external debt by forex reserves improved to 90.8% at end-March 2026 from 89.6% at end-December 2025, while remaining lower than the average of 93.6% in H1 FY2026.

EXHIBIT: Trends in external debt and as percentage of GDP

Download Report
Ask Our Industry Analyst Get in touch with our Business Representative
Please enter your name
Please enter your mobile number
Please enter your email id
Please enter your company name
Name should not be greater than 50 characters
Please choose sector
Please enter your query
Query to have atleast ten characters
Query should not be greater than 1,000 characters
Please verify you are not a Robot.