India-Mexico trade and financial flows: Higher duties may moderately impact auto exports; metals unaffected
Thematic Report
30 Dec 2025
Trade with
Mexico is not significant for India except in automobiles and metals. While
automobile exports may slow due to higher duties, the overall impact on India’s
exports is expected to be minimal. Metal exports remain unaffected as they fall
under the exempt categories.
Merchandise trade between India and Mexico grew at a CAGR of 6% from
FY2016 to FY2025, with exports rising by 8% and imports by 3%. This expansion
led to a three-fold increase in India’s trade surplus with Mexico—from USD 1
billion in FY2016 to USD 3 billion in FY2025.
Mexico accounted for about 1% of India’s global merchandise exports in
FY2025, with automobiles and metal products being the key product categories.
While Mexico is an important destination for automobile exports, any decline in
volumes due to higher tariffs is unlikely to significantly affect overall
industry performance. Additionally, aluminium and nickel exports from India
fall under exempt categories and hence won't be impacted much with higher
tariffs.