Sustained demand
and pricing power to support revenue growth for premium hotel segment in H2
FY2025. Business travel, however, may see some circumspection in the upcoming
months especially in sectors vulnerable to the higher US tariffs.
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ICRA estimates room occupancy and average room rates
(ARRs) of 66-68% and Rs. 7,900-8,000, respectively, in 7M FY2026, over 67-69%
and Rs. 7,600-7,800, respectively, in 7M FY2025. Room occupancies were
healthy in October 2025, driven by business travel, long weekend and festivals.
While heavy rains in certain parts of India impacted travel temporarily, the
impact was localised and occupancy recovered quickly. Sentiments have recovered
from the temporary travel disruptions due to the terror attacks and
geopolitical developments in the first quarter of the year.
ICRA expects the Indian hospitality industry’s revenues
to grow by 6-8% YoY in FY2026, over the high base of FY2025. The growth is
likely to be supported by domestic leisure travel, demand from MICE, including
weddings, and business travel. ICRA expects the pan-India premium hotel
occupancy to hold at 72-74% in FY2026, largely similar to 70-72% in FY2024 and
FY2025. The ARRs for premium hotels are projected to rise to Rs. 8,200-8,500 in
FY2026, after a healthy Rs. 8,000-8,200 in FY2025.