Domestic-led volume recovery supports growth; global overcapacity caps prices
Quarterly Update
31 Aug 2026
The Indian specialty chemicals sector continues to be supported by
healthy domestic demand, volume-led growth and ongoing capacity expansions
across key product segments. While demand conditions have improved across
several end-user industries, global overcapacity, aggressive competition from
Chinese suppliers, tariff-related uncertainties and geopolitical risks continue
to limit broad-based pricing recovery.
Agrochemical
production remains stable in FY2026 supported by domestic offtake as exports moderate
by about 12% YoY. Performance has remained healthy in FY2026, with excess
rainfall causing flooding and crop losses. Operating margins may moderate
mildly in the near term as rising raw material costs, limited pass through to
customers and monsoon-related demand uncertainty offset the benefits of volume
recovery
The
credit profile of sector incumbents is likely to remain healthy, given the
comfortable debt levels and improving cash generation. With modest incremental
debt uptake, credit metrics are likely to remain stable, with TD/OPBDITA
projected at 1.3x in FY2027 compared to 1.5x in FY2026.